Abstract:
Selecting an appropriate livelihood is a critical turning point of any youth’s life.
Until recent years, most prominent livelihood among youth who reside in rural
sector was agriculture, which was inherited from their family. Rural livelihoods
have been diversified due to many factors causing a huge social change, and it
has led the rural youth to be migrated. Among the many factors, this study was
designed to assess whether, the land access influences the choice of agricultural
livelihood among rural youth and it affect the rural youth’s choice of migration.
A national representative sample of rural youth were isolated from the Household
Income and Expenditure Survey (2016) data, compiled by Department of Census
and Statistics. A multinomial logit model under random utility framework was
used to assess the livelihood diversification: the choice of rural youths’ livelihood
among mutually exclusive alternatives. A probit model of migration outcome
was employed to assess the rural youth’s choice of migration with regards to
land access. The multinomial logit model revealed that land access is strongly
associated with the agricultural livelihood choice and urban salaried employment
choice of rural youth. Being a female youth makes the choice of livelihood less
likely to be agriculture in contrast to male youth. Education level of youth act as
an upward driver in choosing urban salaried employment while youth tend not to
choose agriculture as a livelihood opportunity with their education. Probit model
of migration revealed that tendency to migrate reduces with land accessibility.
Therefore, land access is a crucial factor for rural youth to choose agricultural
livelihoods. Land access is also a crucial factor for rural youth not to be migrated.
Thus, the policies required to be reformed to increase the land access to rural youth
in Sri Lanka to address the adverse effects of this social change.
