Abstract:
Long-term ecological experiments offer a great opportunity to conduct a more
exhaustive evaluation of soil moisture dynamics. The objective of this study is to
evaluate the climate-resilience of different rainfed agro-ecosystems e.g., conventional
row crop (i.e., corn, soybean, wheat in rotation), no-till row crop, low-input row crop,
biologically-based row crop, poplar trees, alfalfa, native early successional community,
no-till grass, coniferous forest, deciduous forest, and mid-successional forest. These
systems were established under a long-term ecological experiment in the temperate and
humid climate of Michigan. We hypothesized that an agro-ecosystem has a higher
degree of resilience if it can maintain a level of soil moisture that is above average with
lower variability, especially during dry years. To perform the temporal stability analysis,
we used gravimetric soil moisture data (0-25 cm) collected in the growing season on a
bi-weekly basis (April to November) from 1989-2017. Long-term growing season rainfall
was used to categorize dry, normal and wet years that were used thereafter in the
categorical analysis of temporal stability. Results suggest that the no-till row cropping
system has the highest level of above-average soil moisture during all the dry years,
which highlights that agro-ecosystem’s resilience to climate variability and change.
Annual cropping systems maintain a higher level of above-average soil moisture than
perennial systems, especially during dry years. This response may be associated with
the differences in the canopy, root characteristics, soil health, and soil structure
associated with annual cropping systems. Precipitation is the key variable controlling
near-surface soil moisture dynamics in rainfed agro-ecosystems.
